Q1 2019 Review. “Out Of Sample” Market Experiences Accelerate.
If you feel as though you are walking through an Alice in Wonderland film set, you are probably not alone. It appears “Out of sample” market experiences are proliferating across
Insights to Help Craft Your Legacy
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
Global Policy Failure, Market Dislocation, Investment Strategies To Avoid Gambling
Global growth is uniquely challenged with PMIs in significant downtrends at the same time in the US, China, Japan and Germany. The US is the only one of these 4
From Risk To Instability: Gold Allocation Review
From Risk To Instability For much of Summer 2018 I wrote about the multiple market extremes that emerged, and the associated substantial increase in risk. https://old-site.chris-belchamber.com/10-extremes-mean-risk-in-financial-never-never-land/ Shortly following, volatility accelerated
2018 Q4 Review: What was your Return Relative to Risk (Alpha)?
Portfolio Return To Risk Chart. Far more information. By showing risk in addition to return a great deal more is revealed. The left hand vertical line represents return, while the
Q3 2018 Quarterly Review. Debt, Cycles, and Mindset.
Q3 2018 Quarterly Review. Debt, Cycles, and Mindset. Clarity Market conditions Buybacks Debt and Cycles Cycle sages Strategy Risk Assessment Execution and monitoring Summary and Mindset polarization ————————- Clarity In
10 Extremes Mean Risk In Financial “Never Never Land”
“An economic recovery based around high debt is really no recovery” Larry Elliott This list of extremes seems to add up to a kind of financial “Never Never Land”. Most
Stock Market Rally Attribution. Debt Dependence. Cyclical risk.
A clearer idea of the main drivers of the multi-year US stock market rally provides new insight about its durability and substance. The main causes of the rally can materially
Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes.
Positions, Valuations, And Cycles. All At Challenging Extremes. “Be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.” Warren Buffett “I believe that the highest probability bet you
Global Divergence Extends. Buyback Records. Debt Supernova. US Dollar Shortage. CRB verdict.
The global equity market performance divergence has continued to widen. It is very important to understand why as mean reversion could be a shock to US investors, with the S&P
Q2 2018 Review. Global Downturn continues As US Peaks.
2018 so far has been challenging for most investors. https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-29/global-stocks-suffer-worst-start-year-2010-emerging-markets-collapse At the beginning of 2018 the broad consensus was projecting “global synchronized growth” continuing from 2017. While US growth continued
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