Q2 2021 Review. From Extreme Distortion To Unstable Dysfunction. One way to look at whether QE has distorted asset prices is to create a ratio chart. The chart below shows

“Helicopter Parents generate a perfection of moral hazard, defined as there is no incentive to hedge risk because one is protected from its consequences. Moral hazard perversely increases the incentives

  Fiat Money Explosion. Levitation and Instability.   https://www.goldmoney.com/research/goldmoney-insights/the-next-dollar-problem-has-just-arrived The US money supply explosion in 2020 was far beyond anything we have experienced before, and yet it was also just

Q3 2020 Review  In my Q4 2019 review I drew attention to the downtrend to new post 2008 lows in global growth, in terms of both trade volume growth and

Q2 2020 Review. Policy chaos adding to economic crisis   https://twitter.com/LynAldenContact/status/1275123151614115840 The chart above shows that the S&P 500, priced in gold, peaked in 2018, and is now in a

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-12-18/stanley-druckenmiller-is-embracing-risk-again-just-timidly?mc_cid=ae838a4f94&mc_eid=d27ddc011b If there is a better long term record by an investment manager than that of Stan Druckenmiller then I’d like to see it. So we are fortunate whenever we

Central Banks Are Committing To Intervention, As Earnings And GDP Growth Continue To Decline.  “Monetary policy can no longer be the main engine of economic growth, and other policy drivers

Q3 2019 Review: Growth Down Interventions Up. I believe that on examining the post 2008 economic data, and comparing this recovery with past recoveries, the constant theme is Growth down

Pay attention to precious metals  “If you don’t own gold…there is no sensible reason other than you don’t know history or you don’t know the economics of it…“ Ray Dalio,

https://e-markets.nordea.com/#!/article/49828/week-ahead-all-about-that-fed I believe the relationship between data and the S&P 500 has been unprecedented in 2019. Looking at the chart above you see 2 very significant divergences in this relationship