Bad Investment Math, Bad Advice.
It is always dangerous to accept “expert” advice based on “science”. Many poorly conceived notions have a way of becoming “standard” methodologies, and even become a qualifying requirement for advisors. This article
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
It is always dangerous to accept “expert” advice based on “science”. Many poorly conceived notions have a way of becoming “standard” methodologies, and even become a qualifying requirement for advisors. This article
Everywhere you look the economic warning signs are overwhelmingly evident. Atlanta Fed GDPNow Collapsing Corporate earnings are also showing recession warning signals The Credit Cycle is confirming corporate earnings weakness
How many US recession signals? How many global recession signals? “Bubble right in front of our faces” If we don’t change the way money is created. 9 challenges for the world
Continuing economic down cycle. Offset by yet more debt. But take a look! Extreme long term return-to-risk condition. Conviction the key to a winning strategy. Bubbles can be beaten and with very low volatility.
Markets Disassociate. Look under the hood. No real equity bull market. Fed is compounding dysfunction. Unavoidable Conversation Now. Even on Bloomberg. “Collapse begins when real reform becomes impossible”. 8 reasons why the
“We’re all minions now of the stock market” QE has no impact on Nominal GDP growth Interest rates now insensitive to liquidity excess Banking Lending mainly for capital markets not economy S&P
Q3 earnings look like confirming an earnings recession Caterpillar results indicate a global industrial depression But what do earnings have to do with stock markets? Buybacks USD/JPY China Too! Policy ever more
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