Insights & Research from
CB Investment Management

How many US recession signals? How many global recession signals? “Bubble right in front of our faces” If we don’t change the way money is created. 9 challenges for the world

Continuing economic down cycle. Offset by yet more debt. But take a look! Extreme long term return-to-risk condition. Conviction the key to a winning strategy. Bubbles can be beaten and with very low volatility.

Markets Disassociate. Look under the hood. No real equity bull market. Fed is compounding dysfunction. Unavoidable Conversation Now. Even on Bloomberg. “Collapse begins when real reform becomes impossible”. 8 reasons why the

“We’re all minions now of the stock market” QE has no impact on Nominal GDP growth Interest rates now insensitive to liquidity excess Banking Lending mainly for capital markets not economy S&P

Q3 earnings look like confirming an earnings recession Caterpillar results indicate a global industrial depression But what do earnings have to do with stock markets? Buybacks USD/JPY China Too! Policy ever more

Clarity and Transparency Static allocation from MPT to AW NAAIM says 95% of advisor funds remain in Static Allocation Strategies Adaptive Selective Allocation Cycle Dynamics Macro models, Bayesian models, and combinations

  Simple behavioral explanation for Fed policy statements. Fed never had an exit strategy. Documented. Astonishing 82% of “Economisseds” are still following the Fed. Effective cycle and macro models left the