US Fiscal Exceptionalism Meets A Dollar Sell Signal
Washington just digs a deeper fiscal hole. Let’s be clear. Excessive deficits are your future taxes, or inflation, or both. Policy Chaos: How U.S. Treasury Is Fighting The Fed |
Insights to Help Craft Your Legacy
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
US Stock Market Extremes Diverge From Economic Trends
US Federal Debt Growth Has Exceeded GDP Growth For 16 years.
Stock market rises to record valuation even as economic growth weakens.
Earnings grow is broadly flat over the
The AI Illusion Disguises Policy Failure
Now we can understand what Warren Buffett is telling us.
It is hard to believe that policy makers can balance everything out indefinitely.
In my view, key allocations to
Flawed Flows Financing Fundamental Fantasies.
Japan has gone further for longer down the Keynesian/MMT policy road. The collapse of the yen shows enduring instability. Investors will start to look at other currencies differently. Developed economies
AI, Passive Investing, And Wall Street Earnings Estimates Are Signaling Red Flags
The AI bubble has now reached an all-time record valuation level just as AI product return results are failing to meet expectations.
Passive Investing has reached a record scale
Option Strategies For Unprecedented Equity Market Bifurcation.
Western economic policy has drifted away from established norms on both deficit financing and inflation priority. New and extreme alternative and discretionary policies have evolved, with policy makers increasingly engaged
Central Banks Downgrade Their Inflation Priority For Fear Of Recession.
Market participants are highly committed to the bubble which policy makers won’t be able to sustain. It is crucial to make a distinction between excessive liquidity and “stimulus”, which leads
Gold Begins Outperforming US Stocks And Bonds. New Investment Ball Game. Are You Ready?
Excess policy stimulus is generating inflation, distortions, and weak long -term growth. The emerging trends are a small business depression, with a big business engineered bubble. The engineering is unsustainable.<br
Widespread Advisor Misallocation In Gold And Bonds.
“Gold has risen 89% in the past five years, compared to 85% for the S&P 500 and a disappointing 0.7% for the US aggregate bond index (as of May 17,
Interest Rate Suppression Leads To Higher Interest Rates And Gold Prices
Inflation preparation is not apparent in most western portfolios, as discussed last week. But this issue is much bigger than that. In the 1970s debt levels, relative to GDP, were
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The Way Wealth Management Should Be Best Practice For The Best Results
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