Investor? Or Federal Reserve Minion?
“We’re all minions now of the stock market” QE has no impact on Nominal GDP growth Interest rates now insensitive to liquidity excess Banking Lending mainly for capital markets not economy S&P
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
“We’re all minions now of the stock market” QE has no impact on Nominal GDP growth Interest rates now insensitive to liquidity excess Banking Lending mainly for capital markets not economy S&P
Q3 earnings look like confirming an earnings recession Caterpillar results indicate a global industrial depression But what do earnings have to do with stock markets? Buybacks USD/JPY China Too! Policy ever more
Clarity and Transparency Static allocation from MPT to AW NAAIM says 95% of advisor funds remain in Static Allocation Strategies Adaptive Selective Allocation Cycle Dynamics Macro models, Bayesian models, and combinations
Simple behavioral explanation for Fed policy statements. Fed never had an exit strategy. Documented. Astonishing 82% of “Economisseds” are still following the Fed. Effective cycle and macro models left the
Earned Income as a percent of GDP has declined for 45 years. Debt, however, has risen exponentially for 45 years Earned Income Capitalism was overwhelmed by the bank credit system The
Fed “credibility in shreds”? One hour Bloomberg interview with Ray Dalio Short or long term debt cycle? Central bank policy options shrinking fast Economic policy starts yielding to cycles again ——————————- Fed
Nominal GDP reveals the failure of economic policy Germany’s Finance Minister explains Guardian Suggests Central Banks stand aside Growing list of dissenters isolates the Fed on rate rises ECRI explains that
Seven lean years for world growth Is Japan reaching the limits of QE? Is devaluing the Euro the only option left for the ECB? Global chess game? Or pass the potato? Does
Nomi Prins explains “economic” policy in 2 sentences. Keith Weiner tears down central bank mythology. Volatility explosion is a crack in the facade of “economic” policy. Break-even inflation levels show
Fed missing again, backtracking again “Can Kickers United” Fed now criticizes the Fed! What is the Fed really doing? The car market accident begins Retail Zombies Equity risk – Corporate
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