Markets Break Away From Data
S&P 500 Throws Away The Earnings Connection Total Tax Receipts Send A Message Last Seen In 2008 The Message Complicates Trump’s Growth Strategy Junk Bonds Throw Away
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
S&P 500 Throws Away The Earnings Connection Total Tax Receipts Send A Message Last Seen In 2008 The Message Complicates Trump’s Growth Strategy Junk Bonds Throw Away
The 3000 biggest US companies have never been more leveraged. Just this fact alone should concern most investors, but, as we have shown in previous notes, its much worse than
The great problem with Trump’s trade policy is that it conflicts with his 4% growth target. Just on its own the 4% growth target will be challenging enough, as discussed
Junk Bonds 2 Year Negative Divergence Signal. Echoes of 2000 and 2007. Trump post election rally breaks the records. Echoes 2000 Trump Record Euphoria and Advisors Hugely Allocate
The chart above shows very clearly stock market behavior that has never happened before. Dow Most Overbought in 20 years “single most extreme syndrome of “overvalued, overbought, overbullish”
The relationship between stocks and bonds has reached a triple major historic inflection point. 7 reasons for a new paradigm – Reason 1: Inflation At A Quadruple Inflection Point?
US Equities – Divergence Everywhere Record levels of bullishness A lower high in new highs versus new lows Volume not confirming either Not long before higher bond yields
The biggest credit boom in history US corporate cash flow/debt collapses as CFOs leverage balance sheets While real investment collapses CFOs just focus on stock prices No Wonder S&P
Mainstream out of touch again Now on to the Trump Bubble The repeating flaw in the narrative Charles Gave also weighs in on this idea, looking at the UK and France
“Reality in Politics”? Economic Reality Returns But the Federal Reserve still has a different narrative So … bizarre conditions where Stocks AND Bonds AND commodities trade down Cyclical downtrend continues. Health CPI +
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