Does equity valuation matter? 100 years of data.
Valuation is so crucial to long term investment success but so poorly understood. 100 years of data on US equities shows the record. The current CAPE value is 25. What
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
Valuation is so crucial to long term investment success but so poorly understood. 100 years of data on US equities shows the record. The current CAPE value is 25. What
The consensus believes that the US has just begun a long economic recovery, whereas we believe it is already quite advanced and vulnerable to events in Asia. Falling US MSCI
Podcast of Jim Rickards discussing his new book out next month with Simon Black. https://www.sovereignman.com/podcast/003-the-coming-collapse-of-the-international-monetary-system-13907/
Since 2000 we have been stuck in a “permanent recession”. Over this period economic policy and financial engineering have merely masked this reality. Unfortunately, all they have achieved has been
“Since these monetary/fiscal fixes (i.e. distortions) didn’t address the real issues, all they can possibly do is increase the magnitude of the next collapse.” Charles Hugh Smith https://www.oftwominds.com/blogmar14/5-yr-fantasy3-14.html
This chart below shows that the Fed’s policies since 2007 have been a complete failure as regards the broad economy. There never has been a real recovery and the Fed
The US economy is now dependent on credit growth that is insufficient without additional induced stimulus. The Fed will not be able to complete its current planned withdrawal from QE
“The last time the “Chairman” of GM started writing his letters GM went bankrupt within 2 years. Yet GM is currently the most widely owned stock by hedge funds. The
“Unfortunately for banks, higher education, buggy whip manufacturers, etc., monopoly and propaganda are no match for technology. Just because a system worked in the past in a specific set of
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