Engineering, Divergence, and global growth weakening.
Asset purchases and debt growth have been unprecedented in recent years. Central Bank asset purchases have now exceeded $20 Trillion, or nearly half of world GDP. Corporations have also been
Insights to Help Craft Your Legacy
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
Fed Fixes Failing. Risk Misunderstood. Message To Passive Investors.
https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc180302/ The distinction between “Durable” and “Transient” market gains Markets and experience make opinions not valuation
Bonds Beat Equities over 10 Years Says Model With 147 Years Of Data.
“Call us cynical, but the prospect of equity market excess returns for the next ten years measuring in the fractions
2018 Headwinds
Bonds take on the 30 year Yield downtrend The Government-Induced Liquidity Crisis Global Divergences Market
Bonds Breaking Equities. Core 7 Allocation.
The recent shift down in SPY may be confirming a larger head and shoulders pattern. Without a change in the trend
Are Your Returns Above The Line?
The chart above is a representation of risk and return in US securities markets over calendar year 2017. The coloured squares show benchmark results for well known indexes. The green and red circles
“Next Global Downturn Will Blindside Most”
Spectacular equity gains have a fragile and weak fundamental basis. Primarily based on a massive debt explosion favoring equities. Corporate earnings broadly unchanged over the last 3 years Job gains
Tax reform bill: myths about tax cuts and truth about growth.
The US is the only OECD country that has ZERO value added taxes. Arguably, total US corporate taxes are the lowest. Scoring the bill it is hard not to see
Investment Management. Why You Need A Complete Rethink. 4 Questions.
(1) Do you understand why chasing past returns could be the worst approach to investment choice? Do you know what metric you should use? The best assessment of Investment
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