Policy Ease Or Recession.
How many US recession signals? How many global recession signals? “Bubble right in front of our faces” If we don’t change the way money is created. 9 challenges for the world
Best practices are meant to be shared. That’s why we observe the market and then share our insights on what’s happening, to give you context. We’ve organized every blog into categories, so it’s easier for you to find the answers that matter most to you.
How many US recession signals? How many global recession signals? “Bubble right in front of our faces” If we don’t change the way money is created. 9 challenges for the world
Continuing economic down cycle. Offset by yet more debt. But take a look! Extreme long term return-to-risk condition. Conviction the key to a winning strategy. Bubbles can be beaten and with very low volatility.
Markets Disassociate. Look under the hood. No real equity bull market. Fed is compounding dysfunction. Unavoidable Conversation Now. Even on Bloomberg. “Collapse begins when real reform becomes impossible”. 8 reasons why the
Q3 earnings look like confirming an earnings recession Caterpillar results indicate a global industrial depression But what do earnings have to do with stock markets? Buybacks USD/JPY China Too! Policy ever more
Simple behavioral explanation for Fed policy statements. Fed never had an exit strategy. Documented. Astonishing 82% of “Economisseds” are still following the Fed. Effective cycle and macro models left the

Cycle Dynamic systems dynamically adjust portfolio allocation in sequence with the rhythm of the whole economic cycle. By managing risk and adapting to new trends in real time, back tested
Earned Income as a percent of GDP has declined for 45 years. Debt, however, has risen exponentially for 45 years Earned Income Capitalism was overwhelmed by the bank credit system The
Nominal GDP reveals the failure of economic policy Germany’s Finance Minister explains Guardian Suggests Central Banks stand aside Growing list of dissenters isolates the Fed on rate rises ECRI explains that
Seven lean years for world growth Is Japan reaching the limits of QE? Is devaluing the Euro the only option left for the ECB? Global chess game? Or pass the potato? Does
Nomi Prins explains “economic” policy in 2 sentences. Keith Weiner tears down central bank mythology. Volatility explosion is a crack in the facade of “economic” policy. Break-even inflation levels show
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